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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Detroit 78%, Tennessee 22% at Detroit.
Detroit's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 48% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Detroit's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 55% and 78% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
Detroit's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 61% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.