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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Detroit 70%, New Orleans 30% at Detroit.
Detroit's win probability against New Orleans has swung between 40% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Detroit's win probability against New Orleans has swung between 47% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
Detroit's win probability against New Orleans has swung between 54% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.