Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Detroit 50%, New England 50% at Detroit.
Detroit's win probability against New England has swung between 34% and 45% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 37% now.
Detroit's win probability against New England has swung between 40% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 43% now.
Detroit's win probability against New England has swung between 47% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.