Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Seattle 51%, Denver 49% at Denver.
Seattle's win probability against Denver is trending down — from 72% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Seattle's win probability against Denver is trending down — from 78% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Seattle's win probability against Denver is trending down — from 83% to 65% over the last 6 updates.