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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 20), 2026-27: Dallas 65%, Washington 35% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Washington has swung between 42% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Dallas' win probability against Washington has swung between 49% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Dallas' win probability against Washington has swung between 56% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.