Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's NFL predictions →
Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Dallas 74%, Tennessee 26% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Tennessee is trending up — from 52% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Dallas' win probability against Tennessee is trending up — from 59% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Dallas' win probability against Tennessee is trending up — from 66% to 74% over the last 6 updates.