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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Jacksonville 64%, Dallas 36% at Dallas.
Jacksonville's win probability against Dallas has swung between 46% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against Dallas has swung between 53% and 82% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.
Jacksonville's win probability against Dallas has swung between 60% and 86% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 76% now.