Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Dallas 50%, Baltimore 50% at Dallas.
Dallas' win probability against Baltimore is trending up — from 28% to 37% over the last 6 updates.
Dallas' win probability against Baltimore is trending up — from 34% to 43% over the last 6 updates.
Dallas' win probability against Baltimore is trending up — from 40% to 50% over the last 6 updates.