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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Cleveland 56%, Las Vegas 44% at Cleveland.
Cleveland's win probability against Las Vegas has swung between 31% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 42% now.
Cleveland's win probability against Las Vegas has swung between 38% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Cleveland's win probability against Las Vegas has swung between 44% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.