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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Chicago 64%, Green Bay 36% at Chicago.
Chicago's win probability against Green Bay has swung between 50% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Chicago's win probability against Green Bay has swung between 57% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Chicago's win probability against Green Bay has swung between 64% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.