Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Seattle 56%, Carolina 44% at Carolina.
Seattle's win probability against Carolina has swung between 40% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Seattle's win probability against Carolina has swung between 46% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Seattle's win probability against Carolina has swung between 53% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.