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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Carolina 52%, Atlanta 48% at Carolina.
Carolina's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 39% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 39% now.
Carolina's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 45% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Carolina's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 52% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.