Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 27), 2026-27: Buffalo 55%, New England 45% at Buffalo.
Buffalo's win probability against New England has swung between 39% and 51% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
Buffalo's win probability against New England has swung between 46% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Buffalo's win probability against New England has swung between 53% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.