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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Baltimore 79%, Tennessee 21% at Baltimore.
Baltimore's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 53% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.
Baltimore's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 60% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Baltimore's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 67% and 79% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.