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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 5 (Oct 13), 2026-27: Detroit 66%, Arizona 34% at Arizona.
Detroit's win probability against Arizona has swung between 42% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Detroit's win probability against Arizona has swung between 49% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
Detroit's win probability against Arizona has swung between 56% and 78% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.