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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Houston 74%, Utah 26% at Utah.
Houston's win probability against Utah has swung between 64% and 76% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 74% now.
Houston's win probability against Utah has swung between 70% and 80% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 79% now.
Houston's win probability against Utah has swung between 75% and 85% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 83% now.