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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Miami 51%, LA Clippers 49% at Miami.
Miami's win probability against LA Clippers has swung between 38% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 38% now.
Miami's win probability against LA Clippers has swung between 44% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 45% now.
Miami's win probability against LA Clippers has swung between 51% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.