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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Houston 56%, LA Lakers 44% at LA Lakers.
Houston's win probability against LA Lakers has swung between 44% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Houston's win probability against LA Lakers has swung between 51% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Houston's win probability against LA Lakers has swung between 57% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.