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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Houston 73%, Philadelphia 27% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 44% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
Houston's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 50% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.
Houston's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 57% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.