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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: San Antonio 60%, Denver 40% at Denver.
San Antonio's win probability against Denver has swung between 47% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
San Antonio's win probability against Denver has swung between 54% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
San Antonio's win probability against Denver has swung between 60% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.