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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Houston 57%, Atlanta 43% at Atlanta.
Houston's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 38% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Houston's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 44% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Houston's win probability against Atlanta has swung between 51% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.