Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Miami
|
76
C
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
96
A
6099
|
Offensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
Washington
Miami
| 18 | Overall | 14 |
| 14 | Power | 15 |
| 3 | Offensive | 15 |
| 25 | Defensive | 12 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 8 |
| 6 | SoS (Full Season) | 8 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Washington 53%, Miami 47% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against Miami has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Miami has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Miami has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 4 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 5 | 42% | 44% | 47% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 9 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 10 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 11 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 12 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 16 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 17 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 25 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 26 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 27 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 29 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 30 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 31 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 32 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
Washington
Miami
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Head to Head |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
77-85 (47.5%) |
Overall |
80-82 (49.4%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Home |
47-34 (58%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
33-48 (40.7%) |
|
9-22 (29%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-21 (38.2%) |
|
31-47 (39.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-47 (41.3%) |
|
46-38 (54.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
47-35 (57.3%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Washington
Miami
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 19 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
| 14 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh |
Washington
Miami
| 5.1 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 5 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 5.3 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 5.5 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.8 |
| 13482-13180 | Opponent Record | 13517-13190 |
| 14.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 12 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Washington
Miami
| Sep 27 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W6-4 | Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L1-7 | Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 |
| Sep 25 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W7-6 | Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 |
| Sep 23 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 | Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 |
| Sep 22 | at Detroit (76-86) | W3-1 | Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 21 | at Detroit (76-86) | L2-9 | Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 |
| Sep 20 | at St. Louis (77-85) | L3-5 | Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 |
| Sep 19 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W8-5 | Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 |
| Sep 18 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W9-1 | Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 |
| Sep 16 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 |