Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
Cleveland
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Cleveland
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Cleveland
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
Miami
Cleveland
| 14 | Overall | 12 |
| 15 | Power | 16 |
| 15 | Offensive | 22 |
| 12 | Defensive | 9 |
| 8 | SoS (Current) | 25 |
| 8 | SoS (Full Season) | 25 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Miami 53%, Cleveland 47% at Miami.
Miami's win probability against Cleveland has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Cleveland has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Cleveland has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cleveland | Neutral | At Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 39% | 42% | 44% |
| Wk 4 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 6 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 8 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 10 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 11 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 12 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 27 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 29 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 30 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 31 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 32 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
Miami
Cleveland
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
90-83 (52%) |
|
47-34 (58%) |
Home |
43-44 (49.4%) |
|
33-48 (40.7%) |
Away |
47-39 (54.7%) |
|
13-21 (38.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-18 (33.3%) |
|
33-47 (41.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
28-38 (42.4%) |
|
47-35 (57.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-45 (57.9%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Miami
Cleveland
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #28 Athletics |
| 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
Miami
Cleveland
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.2 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 4 |
| 4 | Home RA | 4.2 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 3.9 |
| 13517-13190 | Opponent Record | 14120-14358 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 16.8 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Miami
Cleveland
| Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 | Oct 19 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-7 |
| Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 | Oct 18 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-3 |
| Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 | Oct 17 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-7 |
| Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 | Oct 15 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W3-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 | Oct 13 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-3 |
| Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 | Oct 12 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 | Oct 10 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | W2-0 |
| Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 | Oct 8 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | W9-5 |
| Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 | Oct 7 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | W9-3 |
| Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 | Oct 5 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-4 |