Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 26 (Nov 1), 2026: Atlanta 66%, Dallas 34% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Dallas is trending up — from 53% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Dallas is trending up — from 58% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Dallas is trending up — from 63% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.