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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 20), 2026-27: San Francisco 57%, Jacksonville 43% at San Francisco.
San Francisco's win probability against Jacksonville has swung between 42% and 52% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
San Francisco's win probability against Jacksonville has swung between 49% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
San Francisco's win probability against Jacksonville has swung between 56% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.