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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Princeton 54%, Yale 46% at Yale.
Princeton's win probability against Yale is trending down — from 63% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
Princeton's win probability against Yale has swung between 54% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Princeton's win probability against Yale has swung between 60% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.