Merrimack at Yale Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Yale by 12.25
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Merrimack
Yale 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
74
C
|
Defensive |
78
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
|
73
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
RANKINGS
Merrimack
Yale
| 91 #390 overall |
Overall | 72 #306 overall |
| 96 #259 overall |
Power | 63 #206 overall |
| 105 #279 overall |
Offensive | 51 #196 overall |
| 84 #237 overall |
Defensive | 71 #216 overall |
| 89 #255 overall |
SoS (Current) | 67 #217 overall |
| 79 #231 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 31 #168 overall |
Yale#7276%
Merrimack#9124%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Yale 76%, Merrimack 24% at Yale.
Yale's win probability against Merrimack is trending down — from 79% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Yale's win probability against Merrimack is trending down — from 83% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
Yale's win probability against Merrimack is trending down — from 87% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Yale favored
Merrimack favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Merrimack | Neutral | At Yale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 1 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 7 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 8 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 9 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Merrimack
Yale
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
3-3 (50%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-3 (25%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Merrimack
Yale
| #451 New Haven | Best Win | #249 Dartmouth |
| #306 Yale | Worst Loss | #293 Pennsylvania |
| 9 pts vs #538 Maine | Largest MOV | 21 pts vs #249 Dartmouth |
| 35 pts vs #200 Delaware | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #289 Rhode Island |
OTHER STATISTICS
Merrimack
Yale
| 17.9 | Points per Game | 29.3 |
| 28.8 | Points Against | 27 |
| 16 | Home PPG | 30.7 |
| 20.3 | Home PA | 24 |
| 19 | Away PPG | 28 |
| 33.8 | Away PA | 30 |
| 26-34 | Opponent Record | 19-23 |
| 322 | Avg Opponent Rank | 293.2 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Merrimack
Yale
| Oct 24 | vs New Hampshire (2-7) | W24-17 | Oct 23 | at Pennsylvania (3-3) | L21-24 |
| Oct 17 | at Dartmouth (3-3) | L21-27 | Oct 17 | vs Rhode Island (4-4) | L23-41 |
| Oct 3 | at Yale (3-3) | L24-41 | Oct 10 | vs Dartmouth (3-3) | W28-7 |
| Sep 26 | vs New Haven (2-6) | W17-10 | Oct 3 | vs Merrimack (3-5) | W41-24 |
| Sep 19 | at Tarleton St (8-0) | L20-45 | Sep 26 | at Cornell NY (3-3) | L25-38 |
| Sep 12 | at Maine (1-7) | W23-14 | Sep 19 | at Holy Cross (3-5) | W38-28 |
| Sep 3 | at Delaware (3-4) | L7-42 | |||
| Aug 28 | vs Rhode Island (4-4) | L7-34 |