Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Western Oregon 52%, Angelo St 48% at Western Oregon.
Western Oregon's win probability against Angelo St has swung between 40% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Western Oregon's win probability against Angelo St has swung between 46% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 46% now.
Western Oregon's win probability against Angelo St has swung between 52% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.