Tennessee St at Western Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Western Illinois by 20.93
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Tennessee St
Western Illinois 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
79
C+
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
|
69
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
85
B
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
RANKINGS
Tennessee St
Western Illinois
| 104 #420 overall |
Overall | 55 #257 overall |
| 74 #222 overall |
Power | 22 #154 overall |
| 84 #247 overall |
Offensive | 15 #138 overall |
| 67 #211 overall |
Defensive | 30 #164 overall |
| 47 #188 overall |
SoS (Current) | 61 #209 overall |
| 62 #206 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 77 #228 overall |
Western Illinois#5589%
Tennessee St#10411%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Western Illinois 89%, Tennessee St 11% at Western Illinois.
Western Illinois' win probability against Tennessee St is trending up — from 73% to 82% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois' win probability against Tennessee St is trending up — from 78% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois' win probability against Tennessee St is trending up — from 82% to 89% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois favored
Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Tennessee St | Neutral | At Western Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 1 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 4 | 86% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 6 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 73% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 9 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
RECORDS
Tennessee St
Western Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Tennessee St
Western Illinois
| #323 Morgan St | Best Win | #329 Tennessee-Martin |
| #329 Tennessee-Martin | Worst Loss | #215 North Alabama |
| 9 pts vs #323 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 57 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 60 pts vs #14 Georgia | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #148 Illinois St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Tennessee St
Western Illinois
| 17.5 | Points per Game | 34.5 |
| 31.4 | Points Against | 25.1 |
| 21 | Home PPG | 43.4 |
| 26 | Home PA | 20.4 |
| 14 | Away PPG | 19.7 |
| 36.8 | Away PA | 33 |
| 36-27 | Opponent Record | 34-30 |
| 264 | Avg Opponent Rank | 281.9 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tennessee St
Western Illinois
| Oct 24 | vs Charleston Southern (4-4) | L7-20 | Oct 24 | vs Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | W55-24 |
| Oct 17 | vs Morgan St (5-3) | W25-16 | Oct 17 | at SE Missouri St (5-3) | L30-40 |
| Oct 10 | vs Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | L28-42 | Oct 3 | vs Tennessee St (2-6) | W28-21 |
| Oct 3 | at Western Illinois (4-4) | L21-28 | Sep 26 | at North Alabama (4-4) | L20-23 |
| Sep 19 | at Florida A&M (2-6) | W29-26 | Sep 19 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W59-2 |
| Sep 12 | at Alabama A&M (6-2) | L3-30 | Sep 12 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L9-36 |
| Sep 5 | at #14 Georgia (6-1) | L3-63 | Sep 5 | vs Illinois St (6-2) | L10-41 |
| Aug 29 | vs Jackson St (6-2) | L24-26 | Aug 27 | vs Northwestern IA (7-2) | W65-14 |