Northwestern IA at Western Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Western Illinois by 45.47
TOTAL POINTS
62
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Northwestern IA
Western Illinois 
|
89
B+
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
91
A-
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
|
96
A
|
SoR (Current) |
85
B
|
|
94
A
|
SoR (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
RANKINGS
Northwestern IANAIA
Western IllinoisFCS
| 26 #375 overall |
Overall | 55 #257 overall |
| 18 #392 overall |
Power | 22 #154 overall |
| 15 #355 overall |
Offensive | 15 #138 overall |
| 20 #415 overall |
Defensive | 30 #164 overall |
| 63 #623 overall |
SoS (Current) | 61 #209 overall |
| 56 #596 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 77 #228 overall |
Western IllinoisFCS #5599%Northwestern IANAIA #261%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Western Illinois 99%, Northwestern IA 1% at Western Illinois.
Western Illinois' win probability against Northwestern IA is trending up — from 93% to 98% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois' win probability against Northwestern IA is trending up — from 95% to 98% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois' win probability against Northwestern IA is trending up — from 96% to 99% over the last 6 weeks.
Western Illinois favored
Northwestern IA favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Northwestern IA | Neutral | At Western Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 85% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
RECORDS
Northwestern IA
Western Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
6-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
5-0 (100%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northwestern IA
Western Illinois
| #279 Morningside | Best Win | #329 Tennessee-Martin |
| #342 Midland U. | Worst Loss | #215 North Alabama |
| 58 pts vs #746 Waldorf | Largest MOV | 57 pts vs #572 Morehead St |
| 51 pts vs #257 Western Illinois | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #148 Illinois St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northwestern IA
Western Illinois
| 38.2 | Points per Game | 34.5 |
| 26.4 | Points Against | 25.1 |
| 33.5 | Home PPG | 43.4 |
| 25.5 | Home PA | 20.4 |
| 42 | Away PPG | 19.7 |
| 27.2 | Away PA | 33 |
| 30-40 | Opponent Record | 34-30 |
| 530.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 281.9 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northwestern IA
Western Illinois
| Oct 24 | at Waldorf (0-8) | W68-10 | Oct 24 | vs Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | W55-24 |
| Oct 17 | vs Doane (2-5) | W45-17 | Oct 17 | at SE Missouri St (5-3) | L30-40 |
| Oct 10 | at Briar Cliff (1-7) | W52-0 | Oct 3 | vs Tennessee St (2-6) | W28-21 |
| Oct 3 | vs Concordia NE (3-4) | W38-24 | Sep 26 | at North Alabama (4-4) | L20-23 |
| Sep 26 | at Hastings (3-4) | W33-26 | Sep 19 | vs Morehead St (2-6) | W59-2 |
| Sep 19 | vs Midland U. (7-1) | L16-28 | Sep 12 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L9-36 |
| Sep 12 | vs Mount Marty (3-6) | W35-33 | Sep 5 | vs Illinois St (6-2) | L10-41 |
| Sep 5 | at Morningside (7-1) | W43-35 | Aug 27 | vs Northwestern IA (7-2) | W65-14 |
| Aug 27 | at Western Illinois (4-4) | L14-65 |