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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Houston 72%, West Virginia 28% at West Virginia.
Houston's win probability against West Virginia has swung between 51% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.
Houston's win probability against West Virginia has swung between 57% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Houston's win probability against West Virginia has swung between 63% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.