Tarleton St at West Florida Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 8.68
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
West Florida
Tarleton 
|
90
A-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
85
B
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
West Florida
Tarleton
| 31 #185 overall |
Overall | 6 #75 overall |
| 37 #177 overall |
Power | 9 #137 overall |
| 45 #189 overall |
Offensive | 7 #115 overall |
| 33 #168 overall |
Defensive | 28 #160 overall |
| 22 #154 overall |
SoS (Current) | 103 #289 overall |
| 27 #163 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 68 #215 overall |
Tarleton St#669%
West Florida#3131%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Tarleton St 69%, West Florida 31% at West Florida.
Tarleton St's win probability against West Florida has swung between 45% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against West Florida has swung between 51% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against West Florida has swung between 57% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Tarleton St favored
West Florida favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At West Florida | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 2 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 5 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 6 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 69% | 75% | 79% |
RECORDS
West Florida
Tarleton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
8-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Away |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
West Florida
Tarleton
| #171 SE Missouri St | Best Win | #133 Austin Peay |
| #244 Eastern Kentucky | Worst Loss | None |
| 34 pts vs #338 West Alabama | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 28 pts vs #131 Abilene Christian | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
West Florida
Tarleton
| 24.1 | Points per Game | 41.9 |
| 22 | Points Against | 22.6 |
| 29 | Home PPG | 49.8 |
| 24 | Home PA | 26.5 |
| 20.5 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 20.5 | Away PA | 18.8 |
| 30-28 | Opponent Record | 23-43 |
| 218.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 347 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
West Florida
Tarleton
| Oct 24 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-5) | L13-16 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-7) | W49-6 |
| Oct 17 | vs West Alabama (5-3) | W37-3 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W49-35 |
| Oct 3 | at Abilene Christian (4-4) | L7-35 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | W40-32 |
| Sep 26 | at SE Missouri St (5-3) | W20-17 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (1-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 19 | vs Austin Peay (7-2) | L16-38 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (3-5) | W45-20 |
| Sep 5 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W42-14 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (3-5) | W27-24 |
| Aug 27 | vs Southern Illinois (4-5) | W34-31 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W20-13 |