North Carolina St at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Virginia by 8.03
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Virginia
North Carolina St 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
82
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
74
C
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
Virginia
North Carolina St
| 88 #110 overall |
Overall | 83 #100 overall |
| 54 #54 overall |
Power | 70 #70 overall |
| 68 #68 overall |
Offensive | 60 #60 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Defensive | 80 #80 overall |
| 87 #87 overall |
SoS (Current) | 29 #29 overall |
| 72 #72 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 40 #40 overall |
Virginia#8868%
North Carolina St#8332%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Virginia 68%, North Carolina St 32% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against North Carolina St has swung between 48% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Virginia's win probability against North Carolina St has swung between 54% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Virginia's win probability against North Carolina St has swung between 61% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Virginia favored
North Carolina St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina St | Neutral | At Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 45% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 1 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 2 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 3 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 4 | 57% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 7 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 54% | 61% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
RECORDS
Virginia
North Carolina St
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
North Carolina St
| #100 North Carolina St | Best Win | #43 Louisville |
| #88 Florida St | Worst Loss | #110 Virginia |
| 56 pts vs #495 Norfolk St | Largest MOV | 73 pts vs #174 Richmond |
| 31 pts vs #88 Florida St | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #110 Virginia |
OTHER STATISTICS
Virginia
North Carolina St
| 28.3 | Points per Game | 32.3 |
| 19.6 | Points Against | 28.1 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 39.8 |
| 11.6 | Home PA | 24.3 |
| 10 | Away PPG | 22.3 |
| 30.5 | Away PA | 33.3 |
| 32-26 | Opponent Record | 32-21 |
| 141.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 87.4 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
North Carolina St
| Oct 23 | vs Duke (5-2) | L16-19 | Oct 23 | at Stanford (4-4) | L28-31 |
| Oct 17 | at SMU (6-1) | L13-23 | Oct 10 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L14-38 |
| Oct 10 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | W28-25 | Oct 3 | vs Louisville (4-3) | W31-28 |
| Oct 3 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-38 | Sep 26 | vs Appalachian St (5-2) | W41-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W42-3 | Sep 19 | at Vanderbilt (3-5) | L31-35 |
| Sep 19 | West Virginia (5-3) | L27-38 | Sep 11 | vs Richmond (6-2) | W73-0 |
| Sep 11 | vs Norfolk St (4-4) | W59-3 | Aug 29 | at Virginia (4-4) | L8-34 |
| Aug 29 | vs North Carolina St (3-4) | W34-8 |