North Carolina at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 0.46
TOTAL POINTS
47
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Virginia
North Carolina 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
Virginia
North Carolina
| 88 #110 overall |
Overall | 50 #52 overall |
| 54 #54 overall |
Power | 46 #46 overall |
| 68 #68 overall |
Offensive | 52 #52 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Defensive | 36 #36 overall |
| 87 #87 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #16 overall |
| 72 #72 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 28 #28 overall |
North Carolina#5051%
Virginia#8849%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 51%, Virginia 49% at Virginia.
North Carolina's win probability against Virginia is trending up — from 20% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina's win probability against Virginia is trending up — from 24% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina's win probability against Virginia is trending up — from 29% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
North Carolina favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Virginia | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 1 | 30% | 35% | 41% |
| Wk 2 | 27% | 33% | 39% |
| Wk 3 | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Wk 4 | 18% | 23% | 28% |
| Wk 5 | 17% | 22% | 26% |
| Wk 6 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 8 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
RECORDS
Virginia
North Carolina
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
North Carolina
| #100 North Carolina St | Best Win | #51 Duke |
| #88 Florida St | Worst Loss | #127 Syracuse |
| 56 pts vs #495 Norfolk St | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St |
| 31 pts vs #88 Florida St | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
Virginia
North Carolina
| 28.3 | Points per Game | 24.4 |
| 19.6 | Points Against | 20.9 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 30.3 |
| 11.6 | Home PA | 23.7 |
| 10 | Away PPG | 21.7 |
| 30.5 | Away PA | 21.7 |
| 32-26 | Opponent Record | 32-19 |
| 141.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 72.4 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
North Carolina
| Oct 23 | vs Duke (5-2) | L16-19 | Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 |
| Oct 17 | at SMU (6-1) | L13-23 | Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 |
| Oct 10 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | W28-25 | Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 |
| Oct 3 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-38 | Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 |
| Sep 26 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W42-3 | Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 |
| Sep 19 | West Virginia (5-3) | L27-38 | Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 |
| Sep 11 | vs Norfolk St (4-4) | W59-3 | Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 |
| Aug 29 | vs North Carolina St (3-4) | W34-8 |