Duke at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Virginia by 2.03
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Virginia
Duke 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
|
78
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Virginia
Duke
| 88 #110 overall |
Overall | 49 #51 overall |
| 54 #54 overall |
Power | 51 #51 overall |
| 68 #68 overall |
Offensive | 63 #63 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Defensive | 42 #42 overall |
| 87 #87 overall |
SoS (Current) | 68 #68 overall |
| 72 #72 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 49 #49 overall |
Virginia#8855%
Duke#4945%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Virginia 55%, Duke 45% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against Duke is trending down — from 66% to 42% over the last 6 weeks.
Virginia's win probability against Duke is trending down — from 71% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Virginia's win probability against Duke is trending down — from 76% to 55% over the last 6 weeks.
Virginia favored
Duke favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Duke | Neutral | At Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 1 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 3 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 5 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 8 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 9 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
RECORDS
Virginia
Duke
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
Duke
| #100 North Carolina St | Best Win | #40 Illinois |
| #88 Florida St | Worst Loss | #129 Georgia Tech |
| 56 pts vs #495 Norfolk St | Largest MOV | 55 pts vs #379 William & Mary |
| 31 pts vs #88 Florida St | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #52 North Carolina |
OTHER STATISTICS
Virginia
Duke
| 28.3 | Points per Game | 29.9 |
| 19.6 | Points Against | 16 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 33.5 |
| 11.6 | Home PA | 10.3 |
| 10 | Away PPG | 25 |
| 30.5 | Away PA | 23.7 |
| 32-26 | Opponent Record | 24-28 |
| 141.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 124.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
Duke
| Oct 23 | vs Duke (5-2) | L16-19 | Oct 23 | at Virginia (4-4) | W19-16 |
| Oct 17 | at SMU (6-1) | L13-23 | Oct 17 | vs North Carolina (4-3) | L20-24 |
| Oct 10 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | W28-25 | Oct 10 | at Georgia Tech (2-5) | L25-28 |
| Oct 3 | at Florida St (3-4) | L7-38 | Sep 26 | vs William & Mary (3-5) | W62-7 |
| Sep 26 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W42-3 | Sep 19 | vs Stanford (4-4) | W35-7 |
| Sep 19 | West Virginia (5-3) | L27-38 | Sep 12 | at Illinois (4-3) | W31-27 |
| Sep 11 | vs Norfolk St (4-4) | W59-3 | Sep 5 | vs Tulane (3-4) | W17-3 |
| Aug 29 | vs North Carolina St (3-4) | W34-8 |