Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Virginia St 57%, Virginia Union 43% at Virginia St.
Virginia St's win probability against Virginia Union has swung between 34% and 50% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 44% now.
Virginia St's win probability against Virginia Union has swung between 40% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
Virginia St's win probability against Virginia Union has swung between 46% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.