Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Villanova 62%, Richmond 38% at Villanova.
Villanova's win probability against Richmond has swung between 38% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Villanova's win probability against Richmond has swung between 44% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Villanova's win probability against Richmond has swung between 50% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.