Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Colgate 60%, Villanova 40% at Villanova.
Colgate's win probability against Villanova has swung between 60% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Colgate's win probability against Villanova has swung between 66% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Colgate's win probability against Villanova has swung between 71% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.