Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Utah St 74%, Troy 26% at Utah St.
Utah St's win probability against Troy has swung between 43% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Utah St's win probability against Troy has swung between 49% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Utah St's win probability against Troy has swung between 55% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.