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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Taylor 92%, Union KY 8% at Union KY.
Taylor's win probability against Union KY has swung between 90% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Taylor's win probability against Union KY has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Taylor's win probability against Union KY has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.