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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: UNLV 64%, Nevada 36% at UNLV.
UNLV's win probability against Nevada has swung between 38% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.
UNLV's win probability against Nevada is trending up — from 44% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
UNLV's win probability against Nevada is trending up — from 50% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.