Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Memphis 62%, UNLV 38% at UNLV.
Memphis' win probability against UNLV has swung between 60% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Memphis' win probability against UNLV has swung between 66% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Memphis' win probability against UNLV has swung between 72% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.