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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Memphis 91%, UNC-Charlotte 9% at UNC-Charlotte.
Memphis' win probability against UNC-Charlotte has swung between 80% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
Memphis' win probability against UNC-Charlotte has swung between 84% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Memphis' win probability against UNC-Charlotte has swung between 88% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.