Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: UC-Davis 61%, Northern Colorado 39% at UC-Davis.
UC-Davis' win probability against Northern Colorado has swung between 30% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
UC-Davis' win probability against Northern Colorado has swung between 36% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
UC-Davis' win probability against Northern Colorado has swung between 42% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.