Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Montana 73%, UC-Davis 27% at UC-Davis.
Montana's win probability against UC-Davis has swung between 47% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Montana's win probability against UC-Davis has swung between 53% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Montana's win probability against UC-Davis has swung between 59% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.