Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Texas 60%, Tulsa 40% at Tulsa.
North Texas' win probability against Tulsa has swung between 31% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
North Texas' win probability against Tulsa has swung between 36% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
North Texas' win probability against Tulsa has swung between 42% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.