Sam Houston St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 3.38
TOTAL POINTS
48
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Sam Houston St
Troy 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
63
D-
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
65
D
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
66
D
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
66
D
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
62
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
65
D
|
RANKINGS
Sam Houston St
Troy
| 136 #398 overall |
Overall | 126 #254 overall |
| 123 #130 overall |
Power | 120 #127 overall |
| 127 #144 overall |
Offensive | 116 #127 overall |
| 115 #122 overall |
Defensive | 118 #125 overall |
| 114 #125 overall |
SoS (Current) | 132 #161 overall |
| 124 #136 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 111 #113 overall |
Troy#12658%
Sam Houston St#13642%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Troy 58%, Sam Houston St 42% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending down — from 61% to 45% over the last 6 weeks.
Troy's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending down — from 67% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Troy's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending down — from 72% to 58% over the last 6 weeks.
Troy favored
Sam Houston St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Sam Houston St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 3 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 4 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
RECORDS
Sam Houston St
Troy
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Sam Houston St
Troy
| #341 Nicholls St | Best Win | #253 Southern Miss |
| #254 Troy | Worst Loss | #272 Louisiana-Monroe |
| 59 pts vs #341 Nicholls St | Largest MOV | 21 pts vs #253 Southern Miss |
| 35 pts vs #17 Texas Tech | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
OTHER STATISTICS
Sam Houston St
Troy
| 20.1 | Points per Game | 22.9 |
| 25.3 | Points Against | 24.9 |
| 25.8 | Home PPG | 31.8 |
| 17.3 | Home PA | 23.3 |
| 12.7 | Away PPG | 11 |
| 36 | Away PA | 27 |
| 28-23 | Opponent Record | 20-30 |
| 187.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 228.6 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Sam Houston St
Troy
| Oct 21 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | L24-30 | Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | L14-21 |
| Oct 14 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | L3-16 | Oct 17 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L6-33 |
| Oct 8 | at Liberty (6-1) | L3-35 | Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss (2-5) | W55-34 |
| Sep 26 | at #17 Texas Tech (6-1) | L14-49 | Sep 26 | at Utah St (2-5) | L10-21 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nicholls St (3-5) | W59-0 | Sep 19 | at Missouri (5-2) | L17-27 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tulsa (4-4) | L17-23 | Sep 12 | vs Alabama St (4-3) | W34-17 |
| Sep 5 | at Troy (3-4) | L21-24 | Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W24-21 |