Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Troy 74%, Louisiana-Monroe 26% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Louisiana-Monroe has swung between 63% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Troy's win probability against Louisiana-Monroe has swung between 69% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Troy's win probability against Louisiana-Monroe has swung between 74% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.