Alabama St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 31.72
TOTAL POINTS
48
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Alabama St
Troy 
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
63
D-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
65
D
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
66
D
|
|
76
C
|
Defensive |
66
D
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
62
D-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
73
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
65
D
|
RANKINGS
Alabama StFCS
TroyFBS
| 85 #372 overall |
Overall | 126 #254 overall |
| 91 #253 overall |
Power | 120 #127 overall |
| 106 #280 overall |
Offensive | 116 #127 overall |
| 77 #227 overall |
Defensive | 118 #125 overall |
| 124 #403 overall |
SoS (Current) | 132 #161 overall |
| 113 #332 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 111 #113 overall |
TroyFBS #12696%
Alabama StFCS #854%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Troy 96%, Alabama St 4% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 87% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 90% to 95% over the last 6 weeks.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 92% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Troy favored
Alabama St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Alabama St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 6 | 90% | 93% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 9 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
RECORDS
Alabama St
Troy
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Alabama St
Troy
| #333 Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Best Win | #253 Southern Miss |
| #464 Florida A&M | Worst Loss | #272 Louisiana-Monroe |
| 34 pts vs #727 Lane | Largest MOV | 21 pts vs #253 Southern Miss |
| 17 pts vs #254 Troy | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
OTHER STATISTICS
Alabama St
Troy
| 25.7 | Points per Game | 22.9 |
| 17.9 | Points Against | 24.9 |
| 34 | Home PPG | 31.8 |
| 14.3 | Home PA | 23.3 |
| 16 | Away PPG | 11 |
| 21.7 | Away PA | 27 |
| 21-34 | Opponent Record | 20-30 |
| 415.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 228.6 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Alabama St
Troy
| Oct 17 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff (4-3) | W21-15 | Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | L14-21 |
| Oct 9 | vs Florida A&M (2-6) | L27-28 | Oct 17 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L6-33 |
| Oct 3 | at Bethune-Cookman (5-3) | L10-16 | Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss (2-5) | W55-34 |
| Sep 26 | vs Mississippi Valley St (3-5) | W41-15 | Sep 26 | at Utah St (2-5) | L10-21 |
| Sep 12 | at Troy (3-4) | L17-34 | Sep 19 | at Missouri (5-2) | L17-27 |
| Sep 5 | vs Lane (1-8) | W34-0 | Sep 12 | vs Alabama St (4-3) | W34-17 |
| Aug 29 | Southern U. (3-5) | W30-17 | Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W24-21 |