Alabama St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 24.5
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, September 13, 2026
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Alabama St
Troy 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
67
D+
|
|
78
C+
|
Offensive |
66
D
|
|
81
B-
|
Defensive |
69
D+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Future) |
67
D+
|
RANKINGS
Alabama StFCS
TroyFBS
| 51 #262 overall |
Overall | 71 #77 overall |
| 64 #214 overall |
Power | 114 #124 overall |
| 71 #224 overall |
Offensive | 116 #128 overall |
| 59 #207 overall |
Defensive | 107 #111 overall |
| 114 #401 overall |
SoS (Current) | 126 #241 overall |
| 119 #336 overall |
SoS (Future) | 115 #117 overall |
TroyFBS #7192%
Alabama StFCS #518%Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Troy 92%, Alabama St 8% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 82% to 87% over the last 6 updates.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 85% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending up — from 88% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Troy favored
Alabama St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Alabama St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 82% | 85% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 88% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
RECORDS
Alabama St
Troy
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Overall |
2-0 (100%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Home |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Away |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Alabama St
Troy
| #393 Southern U. | Best Win | #262 Alabama St |
| #77 Troy | Worst Loss | None |
| 34 pts vs #732 Lane | Largest MOV | 17 pts vs #262 Alabama St |
| 17 pts vs #77 Troy | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
Alabama St
Troy
| 27 | Points per Game | 29 |
| 17 | Points Against | 19 |
| 34 | Home PPG | 29 |
| 0 | Home PA | 19 |
| 17 | Away PPG | 0 |
| 34 | Away PA | 0 |
| 3-5 | Opponent Record | 2-3 |
| 400.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 281 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Alabama St
Troy
| Sep 12 | at Troy (2-0) | L17-34 | Sep 12 | vs Alabama St (2-1) | W34-17 |
| Sep 5 | vs Lane (0-3) | W34-0 | Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston St (0-2) | W24-21 |
| Aug 29 | Southern U. (1-2) | W30-17 |