Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Trinity TX 99%, Sewanee 1% at Trinity TX.
Trinity TX's win probability against Sewanee has swung between 92% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.
Trinity TX's win probability against Sewanee has swung between 94% and 99% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 99% now.
Trinity TX's win probability against Sewanee has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.